Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.853045 5.578246 6.339734 7.195723 8.127929 9.109280 10.217335
2024-12-15 4.043185 5.101852 6.281328 7.679205 9.277158 11.033892 13.098095
2024-12-22 3.275210 4.521739 5.989767 7.813750 9.986994 12.462911 15.465817
2024-12-29 2.835897 4.241710 5.978949 8.223779 10.988695 14.227083 18.249905
2025-01-05 2.456720 3.967918 5.921399 8.536489 11.852173 15.828225 20.866909
2025-01-12 2.091099 3.650492 5.757994 8.676008 12.476532 17.132323 23.138016
2025-01-19 1.726647 3.275425 5.467908 8.608287 12.807407 18.057750 24.944453
2025-01-26 1.495951 3.059402 5.365097 8.764627 13.410869 19.318072 27.171151
2025-02-02 1.298244 2.862312 5.262912 8.900727 13.974462 20.524013 29.336837
2025-02-09 1.058355 2.555440 4.963921 8.729601 14.101735 21.153048 30.765882
2025-02-16 0.858204 2.280690 4.682121 8.554738 14.201378 21.731225 32.122968
2025-02-23 0.724372 2.103214 4.533724 8.559887 14.540241 22.621287 33.887202
2025-03-02 0.590485 1.902452 4.331777 8.476976 14.758679 23.367287 35.497311
2025-03-09 0.538498 1.864785 4.403516 8.820336 15.600481 24.975692 38.274910
2025-03-16 0.453289 1.734116 4.297585 8.872172 16.011915 25.997415 40.282940
2025-03-23 0.421092 1.722810 4.405414 9.271087 16.944959 27.754031 43.299224
2025-03-30 0.382527 1.687122 4.463030 9.586457 17.756793 29.351388 46.118022
2025-04-06 0.330454 1.602734 4.418545 9.725698 18.300875 30.577225 48.443848
2025-04-13 0.266272 1.464430 4.252810 9.646714 18.502800 31.316277 50.108329
2025-04-20 0.230816 1.401489 4.231787 9.812915 19.083685 32.599709 52.531098
2025-04-27 0.198508 1.337926 4.201919 9.958579 19.630979 33.837641 54.899119
2025-05-04 0.150848 1.199280 3.994435 9.773017 19.644298 34.298027 56.187083
2025-05-11 0.112075 1.071518 3.793317 9.583685 19.639876 34.725441 57.426785